In order to discuss the stock exchanges and
stock market efficiency, it is necessary to talk about the capital market
first. In the current fast moving economy situation, capital market plays a significant
role for all investors. It is running between the two important components,
saving and investment. Capital market is financial market for the buying and
selling of long term debt or equity backed securities. It as broker exists
between the investors and ultimate borrowers. If there is no capital market,
business probably is running with high risk and low liquidity. The modern
method to reduce risk and increase liquidity is selling shares and bonds to
investors. The “broker” will assist business to transform asset through offering
securities. In addition, capital market brings benefit to three fields: economy,
savers and companies.
As a part of capital market, the stock
market is doing the similar things. They both are serving a common purpose of
providing a mechanism which to assist firm raise capital for their business
operation. And capital market is including in stock market and bond market. The
stock market is the only platform for trading shares. However, the business
operation good or bad is linking with their share price. The share price increasing,
investors could obtain more profit, and the share price fall, investors might
loss. Therefore, gaining information from the company and the prospect of
company operation is important. Fama (1970) has identified three forms of stock
market efficiency based on efficient market hypothesis (EMH):
The weak form efficiency which claims all
past prices of a stock are reflected in today’s stock price. So technical
analysis cannot be used to predict and beat a market, but investors could seek
profitable companies can earn profits by researching financial statements.
The semi-strong form efficiency is implies
all public information and history is calculated into a stock’s current share
price. Therefore, the fundamental and technical analysis can be used neither to
predict market.
The strong form efficiency is states all
information in a market, whether public or private, is accounted for in a stock
price. This degree of market efficiency implies that profits exceeding normal
returns cannot be made, regardless of the amount of research or information
investors have access to.
Based on the news of Sony’s Smartphone
Gambit which be found on the website of Wall Street Journal, the stock price of
Sony has fell 10% to ¥1,365 after the company reported a net loss of ¥10.8 billion for the three months through
December. This could be a kind of evidence to prove Sony Company is running by
semi-strong form efficiency. According to the BBC news of Sony shares slump 10%
after reporting losses, this was the biggest fall from company joint Tokyo stock
exchange and this drop was react quickly and rationally. In addition, the Sony’s
Smartphone Gambit points out that Sony shipped 9.8million smartphones and its
global market share rose to 4.5% from 3.9% a year earlier. Therefore, the
Efficient Market Hypothesis of Sony is semi-strong form efficiency.
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